Fundamental Analysis, November, 15 / 2011
On Monday, the gloomy weather which could be seen last week has not changed, despite the resignation of Papandreou in Greece and Berlusconi in Italy which resulted in still-forming new governments. The markets seem to understand that while his successor, Mario Monti, is a highly respected technocrat in the peninsula, their presence hardly by itself can change the course of an economy that is headed for bankruptcy if it does not apply a fierce fiscal discipline, and does not control public spending is tight.
Moreover, the impression given is that this situation is not only a change of government is necessary to change the current scenario, but a change of mentality, which does not seem to be these and other countries too willing.
Reflected in numbers, European stock markets suffered losses again, followed by the New York Stock Exchange, which also had a decline in major indexes.
This state of things does not change, and yes is reaffirmed, during the European session on Tuesday. The DAX 30, FTSE 100, CAC 40 and IBEX 35 fell 1.5% on average, while the new Prime Minister of Italy, Mario Monti, begins to face his first political pressures to seek the formation of a coalition government.
The placement of the Italian Treasury bond returns to be very expensive, about 7%, which in turn had to accept Ireland, Portugal and Greece in its most critical moments.
In this context, the strong European currencies fell, led by the Euro, which is close to its minimum of 1.3483 last week, and the British Pound, which however presents a more lateralized trend in the medium term. The British currency was hit today by a report in the UK retail inflation lower than expected.
It also gives the Swiss franc, reaching its lowest since October 10, over statements by the Vice President of Swiss National Bank, Thomas Jordan, who said that the currency still remains Helvetica high.
Performed by Gerardo Porras, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011
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AUD/USD Buy Above 1.0080, November 15, 2011 (Daily Strategy)
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AUD/USD
Australian Dollar versus the U.S. dollar is trading at 1.0129, with a tendency somewhat bearish in daily chart, the 50-day moving average, is above the current quote, indicating that the pair could continue their downward sequence at least to 1.0080, just at this level is the first weekly support, on the other hand, the indicator showing bullish momentum. therefore. We can enter buying small positions, as the pair changes course and shows us more clearly bullish or enter a buy order in the future, right in her weekly support level.
In view of the pair trade is very volatile and sensitive to any news or reporting on the market. Has to be handled with prudence and caution, so our stop loss level, we will place just below the S1 support, weekly.
Performed by Gerardo Porras, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011
[URL="http://instaforex.com/articles/"]More analysis - at
instaforex.com[/URL]
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Crude oil technical analysis for November 15, 2011

Analysis:
Crude oil analysis for November 15 shows a stable upside movement over the moving average which provides us with great opportunities of bullish trading. The first target of uptrend is now 100.58 as 98.86 was overcome. In case this price level is hit, buying will continue with a target to USD 102.08 per barrel. The current trend line 4 is now strong support for bulls and the price is over it which is a signal of the prospects of persistent uptrend. Bearish trading is not recommended so far: the price is to consolidate below the current trend line first. Awesome Indicator displays the current downside movement, as the last closed bar is red. So at the moment, it is not recommended to open buy positions until the uptrend resumes. It will be seen by Awesome’s upturn, this indicator will paint the closed bar green. A protective stop order can be now placed below the trend line 4.
Trading recommendations:
The analysis of the oil price movement suggests buying with a target to USD 100.58. If bulls do not ease their ardour and this level is hit, it is recommended to carry out bullish trading with a target to 102.08. Now exit by stop loss placed below the trend line 4 is grounded, as the line acts as strong support. Opening long positions is recommended after Awesome’s upturn. Short positions are not recommended to open.
Fundamental data and the time of their release should also be taken into consideration apart from the technical vision.
Image annotations:
Awesome Oscillator - red and green bars in the indicator’s window.
Trend lines – blue lines.
Support and resistance levels – red horizontal lines.
Performed by Stanislav Polyanskiy, Analytical expert
InstaForex Companies Group © 2007-2011
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